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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Match insights
Falcons turn 93/3 into 95/7
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons ripped through the Barbados Tridents chase between overs 13 and 14, taking 4 wickets in 6 balls and flipping 93/3 into 95/7. That burst shattered the chase and left the Falcons firmly in control of the contest.
Falcons finish hard to seize control
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons turned 106/5 into 155/5 across 17–20, piling on 49 runs in 18 balls against Barbados Tridents. That burst changed the shape of the first innings, giving them a total to set that the Tridents had no answer for.
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons win by 30 runs
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons set 155/5 and then watched Barbados Tridents fold for 125 all out. The Falcons hit 6 sixes to 3 and kept the dot-ball rate down at 38% against 45%. That left the result decided by control, not just runs, with Antigua & Barbuda Falcons seizing it after the innings break.
James and Gore drive Antigua & Barbuda Falcons' decisive edge
James struck with 3 wickets for 18 and an impact score of 91, a sharp lift on his 50 average impact across 9 matches. Gore added 27 off 23 with an impact score of 82, well above his 27 average impact from 10 matches. Together they gave Antigua & Barbuda Falcons the key edge that decided the contest.
Match impact vs recent form
This match score (0-100) vs their recent-form average over the card's look-back window.
Muqeem reaches 100 T20 wickets
Muqeem has landed a proper career marker, moving from 99 to 100 wickets in T20 cricket. It's a handy wicket that should seal the victory for the Falcons.
Sams reaches 2500 T20 runs
Sams has crossed 2500 career T20 runs after adding 7 so far in this match for Barbados Tridents. His team need him to hang around and go big in the final 4 overs if they want to rescue this chase.
Falcons rip through Tridents in a brutal 6-ball collapse
Another wicket from Khan adds to the collapse dismissing Motie, bringing the Tridents to 95/7 after 14 overs. Is there any way back for the Tridents now?
Tridents lose 3 wickets in 4 balls
Barbados Tridents were 93/3 and then lost Anderson, Rutherford and Clarke in a 4-ball burst without adding a run. Joshua James struck twice, with Shadab Khan joining in the next over, and the innings has slumped to 93/6 in 14 overs. That collapse has flipped the pressure hard onto Barbados Tridents, with Antigua & Barbuda Falcons suddenly holding the upper hand in a dramatic turnaround.
De Kock reaches 12750 career T20 runs
De Kock brings up 12750 career T20 runs.
Joseph has Kock quieter than usual
Barbados Tridents are 34/1 in 5 overs while chasing 155, and QDK’s strike rate is only 110 against Joseph, well below his 141 career batting SR. The next few overs are crucial for the Falcons as they look to control one of the Trident's most dangerous players.
Kock's strike rate · per 100 balls
Joseph keeps Kock's batting strike rate below Kock's career mark.
Moeen Ali lifts Antigua & Barbuda Falcons late
At 153/5 in 19.3 overs, Antigua & Barbuda Falcons have had Moeen Ali doing the heavy lifting. His 54 off 34, with 4 sixes and 3 fours, has come late but just in time for the Falcons to set a defendable total.
Simmonds has kept Ali below his usual pace
At 83/5 after 14 overs, Antigua & Barbuda Falcons need Ali to lift them, but Simmonds has held him to 115 against a career 140. Ali has stayed steady so far, but will have to look to accelerate soon at a risky moment.
Ali's strike rate · per 100 balls
Simmonds keeps Ali's batting strike rate below Ali's career mark.
Green has Ali in check at 86
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons are 56/3 after 9 overs, and Ali’s 86 against Green sits well below his 140 career batting SR. The Falcons have had a slow start, and the pressure won't be letting up any time soon.
Ali's strike rate · per 100 balls
Green keeps Ali's batting strike rate below Ali's career mark.
Rahman has Gore pinned in the powerplay
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons are 29/1 after 5 overs, but Gore’s strike rate is only 50 against Rahman, well below his career 138. This is yet another advantage that the Tridents hold over the Falcons and one that they will look to exploit.
Gore's strike rate · per 100 balls
Rahman keeps Gore's batting strike rate below Gore's career mark.
Motie has Jangoo in a tighter grip
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons are 22/1 after 4 overs, and Jangoo’s strike rate against Motie sits at 79, well below his 102 career batting SR. That is the kind of matchup that can slow a first innings just when momentum should be gathering. The Tridents have already taken an early wicket and so will be looking to push on.
Jangoo's strike rate · per 100 balls
Motie keeps Jangoo's batting strike rate below Jangoo's career mark.
Sams has Gore in check
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons are 6/1 after 2 overs, and Gore’s strike rate against Sams sits at 121, below his 138 career mark. Sams already took a wicket before the rain delay, and the Tridents will be hoping he can get another soon after and inflict more early damage on the Falcons.
Gore's strike rate · per 100 balls
Sams keeps Gore's batting strike rate below Gore's career mark.
Ali and Cornwall can hurt BT in the middle and at the death
Antigua and Barbuda Falcons have two clear danger-zone threats. Ali's SR jumps to 200.73 in the death, while Cornwall lifts to 166.28 in the middle, and both carry high boundary rates. Barbados Tridents will also watch De Kock, who strikes at 174.01 in the middle.
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
Rahman has Ali below his usual tempo
Ali’s strike rate against Rahman sits at 121, below his career batting SR of 140, and that gap matters in a T20 where every quiet over counts. If that pattern continues, Barbados Tridents have a clear hold on one of Antigua and Barbuda Falcons’ key threats.
Ali's strike rate · per 100 balls
Rahman keeps Ali's batting strike rate below Ali's career mark.
Muqeem is one wicket away from 100
For Antigua & Barbuda Falcons, Muqeem stands on 99 career T20 wickets and needs just 1 more to reach 100 in this CPL meeting with BT.
Sams is 5 runs from 2500 career T20 runs
For Barbados Tridents, Sams needs just 5 more to reach 2500 career T20 runs.
Kock and Rutherford headline Barbados Tridents’ batting threat
De Kock brings 1379 runs at a strike rate of 153, while Rutherford adds 1234 runs at the same pace and an impact score of 86. Antigua and Barbuda Falcons have their own edge through Muqeem’s 62 wickets and Khan’s 64 wickets, with Khan also striking at 156. This is a contest with match-winners on both sides, but Barbados Tridents carry the heavy batting firepower.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
ABF and BT arrive level in a 2-2 rivalry
ABF and BT meet with nothing to split them in 4 previous meetings with 2 wins apiece. A win today for the Falcon's would mean they clinch top spot in the table as the first team to record 4 victories.
Tridents finish harder, Falcons keep it close early
Across their previous 10 matches, Barbados Tridents have the stronger late surge, lifting their death-over run rate to 11.75 compared to Antigua and Barbuda Falcons’ 10.1. The powerplay is nearly even at 7.86 and 7.82, but during the middle overs, the Tridents look to start accelerating. That leaves the Tridents with the more powerful batting lineup if the game goes deep.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium still favours the chase
Tonight's match between Antigua & Barbuda Falcons and Barbados Tridents is the last at Sir Vivian Richards Stadium for CPL 2026. The ground still favours the chase, boasting a 70% success rate with 144 being a low average 1st innings score. The Falcons have seen mixed success at this ground this year winning in two dramatic chases last week, before getting comfortably turned over by the Guyana Amazon Warriors on Sunday night.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Sir Vivian Richards Stadium
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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