Phi Edge uses AI to predict who will win
Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
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GAW won
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Match insights
Moeen Ali’s over keeps Guyana on top of the chase
Guyana Amazon Warriors solidified their position in the chase in the 9th over, taking 16 from Ali and moving from 81/2 to 97/2. Two sixes in the over took GAW closer to the 117 target. The Falcons need a miracle if they want to win this one.
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
Hetmyer reaches 400 T20 sixes
Hetmyer has smashed 2 sixes in 2 balls for Guyana Amazon Warriors, and that has carried him to 400 career T20 sixes. He's turning up the volume now as he looks to finish this chase early.
Seales gets taken for 18 as Warriors answer back
Jayden Seales was put under the pump in Over 5, with Guyana Amazon Warriors racing from 23/2 to 41/2 in six balls. Two sixes and a four put the pressure on in a chase of 116, and the required rate of 5.81 now looks far less comfortable for Antigua & Barbuda Falcons.
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
Hetmyer has Seales on the ropes
Guyana Amazon Warriors are chasing 116, and Hetmyer has struck at 200 against Seales, well above his 146 career batting SR. At 18/2 after 3 overs, Hetmyer will look to counter attack and get this target chased down sooner rather than later.
Hetmyer's strike rate · per 100 balls
Seales keeps Hetmyer's batting strike rate below Hetmyer's career mark.
Seales has Phillips under the usual pace
Guyana Amazon Warriors are chasing 116 and Phillips has only 77 against Seales, well below his 141 career batting SR. With 14/0 after 1 overs, Antigua & Barbuda Falcons are under pressure already and need Seales to have an impact immediately.
Phillips's strike rate · per 100 balls
Seales keeps Phillips's batting strike rate below Phillips's career mark.
Falcons unravel from 108/5 to 116 all out
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons have been ripped apart in 16 balls, losing 5 wickets and adding only 8 runs from 108/5 to 116 all out. Moeen Ali, Kusal Perera, Shamar Springer, Alzarri Joseph and Jayden Seales all fell in the sequence, with Shepherd, Imran Tahir and Shamar Joseph doing the damage. Guyana Amazon Warriors have seized the moment and restricted the Falcons to a sub-par total.
Tahir has Perera in a tight grip
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons are 73/3 after 9 overs, and Perera’s 82 against Tahir is well below his 139 career batting SR. That is exactly the sort of presure Guyana Amazon Warriors wanted at this stage. With Tahir on, the Falcons have to work harder for every run, and this first innings is being forced to slow down even further.
Perera's strike rate · per 100 balls
Tahir keeps Perera's batting strike rate below Perera's career mark.
Cornwall reaches 1500 CPL runs
Cornwall has brought up 1500 runs in the CPL, with 9 runs already in this match taking him from 1492 to the mark. For Antigua & Barbuda Falcons, they will hope he can kick on and post a big score.
Death overs could decide this CPL meeting
Ali and Khan give Antigua and Barbuda Falcons a powerful late phase, with strike rates of 200.73 and 194.47 in the death across their last 50 matches. Guyana Amazon Warriors have their own answer in Sampson, who peaks at 185.96 through the middle. Gore adds another Falcons threat with 143.75 in the Powerplay.
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
Nabi has Ali in a tight hold
Ali’s strike rate against Nabi is 67, well below his career batting SR of 140. For Antigua and Barbuda Falcons, that is a clear warning before this CPL meeting with Guyana Amazon Warriors. If Nabi lands early, he can drag Ali out of rhythm and tilt the matchup quickly.
Ali's strike rate · per 100 balls
Nabi keeps Ali's batting strike rate below Ali's career mark.
Shepherd has Cornwall in check
Cornwall’s strike rate drops to 96 against Shepherd, well below his career batting SR of 149. In the past, the matchup has clearly slowed him down, and that is a useful advantage for Guyana Amazon Warriors to use before Antigua and Barbuda Falcons can get going.
Cornwall's strike rate · per 100 balls
Shepherd keeps Cornwall's batting strike rate below Cornwall's career mark.
Hetmyer is 2 sixes away from 400
Guyana Amazon Warriors will have Hetmyer in the spotlight in this T20, with 398 career T20 sixes and only 2 more needed to reach 400.
Cornwall is 8 runs away from 1500 CPL runs
For Antigua & Barbuda Falcons, Cornwall stands on the brink at 1492, needing just 8 more to reach 1500 CPL runs.
Guyana Amazon Warriors bring both bat and ball threats
Sampson is the obvious batting spark across the last 10 matches, with 238 runs at 157 and an impact score of 86, while Hope adds 341 runs at 136 and an impact score of 83. Tahir and Joseph give the bowling edge too, with 14 wickets at 6.63 and 22 wickets at 8.82. Guyana Amazon Warriors have match-winners in both innings, and that balance can shape this match.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
GAW hold the edge in a 4-match rivalry
Guyana Amazon Warriors come into this fixture with the upper hand, having won 3 of their 4 meetings against Antigua and Barbuda Falcons. However, the Falcons were victorious in a low scoring chase the last time they played. Tonight's match should be a close contest with top spot in the table up for grabs for the winner.
Falcons and Warriors save their sharpest hitting for the end
Antigua and Barbuda Falcons have a slight scoring advantage later on, with 10.51 in the Death compared with Guyana Amazon Warriors’ 10.03, while the early overs are almost level at 7.68 and 7.43. The middle stays tight too, 7.41 against 7.46, so this looks set to be decided by which side can go bigger during the closing stages.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
Sir Vivian Richards Stadium rewards the chase
At Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, 146 is the average first-innings score across the last 30 matches, with 147 and above being defended 47% of the time. It is a ground where chases are successful 67% of the time, with a huge jump in run rate during the death overs. This has been reflected in both CPL 2026 matches it has hosted so far, with the Falcons winning two tight chases thanks to explosive power hitting in the final overs.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Sir Vivian Richards Stadium
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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