Phi Edge uses AI to predict who will win
Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
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ABF won
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Match insights
Falcons trigger a Kingsmen collapse
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons ripped through Jamaica Kingsmen between overs 11 and 14, turning 105/2 into 113/6 with 4 wickets in 18 balls. That burst flipped a steady position into a scramble, and the Falcons seized control when the innings should have been pushing on.
Falcons finish the chase with 8 wickets in hand
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons showed up in the final with their best cricket! From start to finish they performed excellently, showing a polished version of the team they have been cultivating throughout the competition. Their improvement as the tournament went on, particularly after the late arrival of their skipper, Moeen Ali, was outstanding and the desire to get better ultimately won them the competition. There will be huge celebrations in Antigua & Barbuda tonight!
Sadaqat’s 114 puts Jamaica Kingsmen in charge
Sadaqat took just 58 balls for his 114 at a strike rate of 196.6, and his impact score of 97. However, he was let down by the rest of his batting unit, who contributed very little extra on top of his knock. Jangoo answered with 57 from 34 and an impact score of 90 to anchor the chase after the quick start provided by Cornwall and Lewis. Consistency through the entire team, on this occasion, was superior to the quality of one man and brought the victory to the Falcons.
Match impact vs recent form
This match score (0-100) vs their recent-form average over the card's look-back window.
Jangoo brings Antigua & Barbuda Falcons closer
Amir Jangoo has reached 50 off 30 balls, with 3 sixes and 3 fours, and that kind of pace has putt Antigua & Barbuda Falcons well ahead of the chase at 146/2 after 14.3 overs.
Lewis reaches 7000 T20 runs
Lewis has brought up a major career milestone with 37 runs in this match, moving from 6964 to 7000.
Falcons cash in as Shah’s over leaks 18
ABF are flying in the chase as they took 18 from Hunain Shah's wayward over.
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
Jangoo reaches 500 CPL runs
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons have 11 runs this match, and Jangoo has taken his CPL tally to 500.
Lewis reaches 3000 CPL runs
Lewis has crossed 3000 runs in the CPL, a mark built on 12 runs this match for Antigua & Barbuda Falcons. He will know that his job is far from done and, as the experienced pro, he will look to lead this batting unit as close as he can to the target.
Russell slows Lewis early
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons are chasing 170, but Lewis strikes at only 130 against Russell compared to a 147 career mark. That is a sharp early check on the chase, with Jamaica Kingsmen finding a useful brake before the innings can settle.
Lewis's strike rate · per 100 balls
Russell keeps Lewis's batting strike rate below Lewis's career mark.
Ayub’s first over goes the distance to jolt ABF’s chase
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons got 20 from the opening over, with 2 fours and 2 sixes, but the cost was a wicket on the last ball. Cornwall was on fire until a strange decision to walk across his stumps saw him bowled to end the early destruction.
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
James’ 17th over lifts Jamaica Kingsmen to 151/7
Jamaica Kingsmen needed a spark at 127/7, and Joshua James gave them 24 in Over 17 to drag the total to 151/7. With 2 sixes and 2 fours in the burst, the innings has taken off.
This over · runs
Well clear of Jamaica Kingsmen's current run rate.
Sadaqat reaches 100 in Jamaica Kingsmen’s innings
Maaz Sadaqat has reached his 100 off just 49 balls, including 8 sixes and 7 fours. In a first innings that still needs a finish, his second hundred of the playoffs has kept his team in the contest.
Jamaica Kingsmen lose 4 for 3 in a brutal 13-ball burst
What had been 110/2 has crashed to 113/6 in Overs 12-14, with Antigua & Barbuda Falcons ripping out 4 wickets in 13 balls. This innings has flipped on its head as ABF's spinners have taken control of the game.
Cornwall pays for one over as Kingsmen reach 97/2
Jamaica Kingsmen have turned 81/2 into 97/2 in Over 10, and Rahkeem Cornwall was hit for 16 in the over, including a six and a four. With 97 on the board after 10 overs, they have kept the innings moving and left Antigua & Barbuda Falcons needing a stronger second half to pull it back.
This over · runs
Well clear of Jamaica Kingsmen's current run rate.
Sadaqat brings up a rapid fifty for Jamaica Kingsmen
Maaz Sadaqat has reached 50 off 27 balls, with 4 sixes and 5 fours, and Jamaica Kingsmen are 90/2 in 9.4 overs. In a first innings that is setting a total, that pace has given the innings real punch and put the pressure back on ABF.
Sadaqat reaches 1500 T20 runs
Sadaqat has brought up 1500 runs in career T20 cricket. He is such a young man, but also a man in such great form. There is no doubt he will score many more runs in what we can only hope will be a long career.
Sadaqat reaches 250 in the CPL
Sadaqat has crossed 250 CPL runs, with 6 runs from the first ball of this match already nudging him through the milestone.
Danger zone could be decided by Falcons’ middle and death hitters
Ali has the sharpest finish in the card, with a 204.29 strike rate in the Death, while Lewis lifts to 175.61 in the Middle. Cornwall adds 166.28 through the Middle, but Sadaqat’s 167.05 in the Powerplay keeps Jamaica Kingsmen dangerous early.
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
Powell has great history against Seales
Powell’s strike rate jumps to 233 against Seales, well above his 143 career mark, so Jamaica Kingsmen have a matchup worth backing. Seales comes back into the ABF side tonight after being left out in the last game, and his performances so far in the CPL have been underwhelming. He will have a tough task overturning this form against an adversary he has struggled to pin down in the past.
Powell's strike rate · per 100 balls
Seales keeps Powell's batting strike rate below Powell's career mark.
Khan has Powell well below his usual tempo
Powell’s strike rate drops to 79 against Shadab Khan, a sharp fall from his 143 career batting SR. Across 29 balls, Khan has clearly found a method to slow him down, and that kind of hold can matter a lot in T20. Khan comes into this final in fantastic form, and everything looks in his favour to continue that.
Powell's strike rate · per 100 balls
Khan keeps Powell's batting strike rate below Powell's career mark.
Ali is 3 runs from 8500
Moeen Ali needs just 3 more runs to reach 8500 career T20 runs. He has not faced a huge number of balls in recent ABF games, as their top order has been firing. If he is needed by his side tonight, he will hope to step up, brush this milestone aside, and add many more on top.
Lewis needs 9 to reach 3000 CPL runs
The Antigua & Barbuda Falcons batter is on the brink of a major landmark, needing just 9 more runs to move from 2991 to 3000 CPL runs. He has been a stalwart of the CPL and it would be very fitting for him to reach this milestone in such an important match.
Jangoo needs 10 to reach 500 CPL runs
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons have Jangoo 10 away from a tidy milestone, with 490 CPL runs already in the bank. He has been scoring relatively slowly in this year's CPL, so will be hoping to come in after his openers have set a good platform that he can bat freely on top of.
Khan and Sadaqat headline ABF v JK preview
Unsurprisingly, the final brings together some players in great form. Khan brings the edge for Antigua and Barbuda Falcons with 14 wickets in his last 10 games, as well as some very quick scoring with the bat, and an impact score of 90, while Sadaqat offers Jamaica Kingsmen 301 runs at a strike rate of 160 and an impact score of 88. James has 13 wickets for the Falcons, and Russell adds 211 runs and 12 wickets for Jamaica Kingsmen. Two proven match-winners on each side set this up as a contest with plenty of bite.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
Kingsmen look for their first win over Falcons
Antigua and Barbuda Falcons and Jamaica Kingsmen meet in tonight's final with ABF already having won the only previous meeting. Tonight will see a first-time CPL champion being crowned, no matter the result, as the two newest franchises face each other for the prize the players have been working towards all season. Both sides have hit their stride at exactly the right time and it seems as though the final should be an absolute cracker between two very exciting sides.
Kensington Oval makes life easier for the chaser
7 out of 7! After the Kingsmen successfully chased down 206 against GAW the other night, it is now the case that all of the last 7 games played at this venue have been won by the chasing team. That is more than just a subtle trend, and although traditional wisdom suggests that setting a total in a match as high-pressured as a final can be beneficial, the toss-winning captain will almost certainly choose to bowl first and immediately take an, at the very least psychological, advantage.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Kensington Oval
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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