Phi Edge uses AI to predict who will win
Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Match insights
Jamaica Kingsmen win by 51 runs after setting 181/6
Jamaica Kingsmen’s 181/6 was too much for St Kitts and Nevis Patriots, who were bowled out for 130. The difference came in the strike power: 12 sixes and 11 fours, with 60.8% of the runs in boundaries, compared with 6 sixes, 6 fours and 46.2% for St Kitts and Nevis Patriots. The Patriots couldn't get going in their chase and simply didn't get the ball to the boundary frequently enough. Chasing 181 was always going to be a tough ask, but the Patriots batsmen did not do enough to even get them close. The dent this result puts in their net run rate could prove costly - only time will tell.
Paul and Russell power Jamaica Kingsmen’s decisive allround show
Paul’s 65 off 36, plus 3 wickets for 30, set the tone with an impact score of 92, while Russell backed it up with a quick-fire 14 off 7 and 2 wickets for 19 for an impact score of 91. Against recent form, both stood out sharply, and Jamaica Kingsmen’s grip came from having two allrounders deliver in the same match. That was the difference.
Match impact vs recent form
This match score (0-100) vs their recent-form average over the card's look-back window.
Charles has Russell's number early
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots are chasing 181 at 8/1 in 1 overs, and Charles has come has a favourable matchup against Russell, having struck at 220 against him, well above his 135 career batting SR. SKNP need him to continue to dominate the equally experienced Russell.
Charles's strike rate · per 100 balls
Russell keeps Charles's batting strike rate below Charles's career mark.
Fletcher reaches 3500 CPL runs
Fletcher has moved past 3500 runs in the CPL with 7 runs in this match. But, it's over all too soon as he gives his wicket away at the end of the first over.
Kingsmen lift the tempo with a 22-run over
Paul is flying! He has well and truly found his rhythm The ball is being sent to all parts of the ground and into the stands. The Kingsmen will be feeling far more confident now than at the beginning of this innings.
This over · runs
Well clear of Jamaica Kingsmen's current run rate.
Keemo Paul reaches 50 as Jamaica Kingsmen keep the board moving
Keemo Paul has brought up 50 off 30 balls, with 4 sixes and 3 fours, and his 51 has given Jamaica Kingsmen a much needed lift. In a first innings that still needs finishing, his pace has kept the total moving and given Jamaica Kingsmen a platform to set something meaningful. He will look to accelerate even further now, with Andre Russell still waiting in the sheds.
Hasaranga taken for 16 as Kingsmen push on
Jamaica Kingsmen have found a release at 16 overs, moving from 114/4 to 130/4 in Hasaranga’s over with two sixes and no wicket lost. Keemo Paul found his flow and looked to target the straight boundary against the Sri Lankan spinner.
This over · runs
Well clear of Jamaica Kingsmen's current run rate.
Powell could look to target Bidaisee
Jamaica Kingsmen are 42/3 after 6 overs, and Powell has fared well against Bidaisee in the past, scoring freely. Could this be the matchup Powell targets to drive the Kingsmen out of the rut they find themselves in, in what is a must win game.
Powell's strike rate · per 100 balls
Bidaisee keeps Powell's batting strike rate below Powell's career mark.
Hasaranga comes on with Hendricks held in check
Jamaica Kingsmen are 35/2 after 5 overs, and Hendricks has only managed to strike 103 against Hasaranga compared with a career 128. While it is not a huge deviation from his career stats, it is no doubt an edge the Patriots are trying to exploit as they look to get rid of another one of the Kingsmen's stars early.
Hendricks's strike rate · per 100 balls
Hasaranga keeps Hendricks's batting strike rate below Hendricks's career mark.
Holder has Khan pinned early
Jamaica Kingsmen are 17/2 after 3 overs, and Khan’s 57 strike rate against Holder is a long way from his 146 career mark. This is the complete opposite to his current batting partner so it will be interesting to see how these two handle this challenge.
Khan's strike rate · per 100 balls
Holder keeps Khan's batting strike rate below Khan's career mark.
Holder struggles against Hendricks
Jamaica Kingsmen are 2/2 after 1 overs, and Hendricks has taken 150 against Holder, well above his 128 career batting SR. It is not often that Holder finds himself on the wrong side of a matchup, so he will be looking to turn this one back in his favour.
Hendricks's strike rate · per 100 balls
Holder keeps Hendricks's batting strike rate below Hendricks's career mark.
Hendricks reaches 9000 T20 runs
Off the mark and onto 9000 T20 runs. Now he needs to focus on this rebuild for the Kingsmen after two early wickets.
Hendricks is one run from 9000
Hendricks goes into this T20 with 8999 career runs, needing just 1 to reach 9000 for Jamaica Kingsmen. Barring disaster, he should get to this monumental milestone tonight. Could this encourage him to go big for the Kingsmen tonight?
Fletcher needs 1 to reach 3500 CPL runs
St Kitts & Nevis Patriots have Fletcher on the brink of a major mark, with just 1 run standing between him and 3500 CPL runs. He's a veteran of the CPL and such a milestone would be fitting of a player who has always brought his all and a certain flair to the competition.
Khan is 2 away from 100 T20 sixes
Khan goes into JK v SKNP on 98 career T20 sixes, with 2 more needed to reach 100. Will Hassan Khan clear the ropes more than a couple of time tonight?
Holder and Powell headline a star-studded pre-match battle
Holder’s 72 wickets in his last 50 games and impact score of 84 make him the Patriots’ biggest threat, while Powell brings 1197 runs at a strike rate of 149 for Jamaica Kingsmen. Hasaranga's 58 wickets and Hendricks’ 1495 runs add more weight on both sides. With Holder and Powell leading the way, this one has the look of a contest where individual quality could decide the edge.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
Jamaica Kingsmen finish harder, Patriots start steadier
Jamaica Kingsmen’s edge is at the back end, with 11.13 at the death against St Kitts and Nevis Patriots’ 9.73, while the Patriots shade the middle at 7.85 to 7.37. The powerplay is close too, 8.15 against 7.73. If it is tight coming to the finish, expect the Kingsmen to show their elite death-hitting and power to close out this one. We could well see more fireworks at the end from the experienced duo of Powell and Russell.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
Sabina Park rewards 177, but chases have been split
Sabina Park profiles as a venue where runs on the board matter. Across the last 30 matches, the average first-innings score sits at 177, and chase success is split at 50%, so there is no clear built-in advantage for the side batting second. The key read is the defence rate: totals of 178 or more have been defended 79% of the time. That makes 178 the obvious par-plus marker. Anything below 165 should feel chaseable, but once the first-innings side gets into the high 170s and beyond, the game generally starts leaning their way. However, of T20s played there this year, 4 of 6 totals have been chased, including 182 just the other night.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Sabina Park
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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