




14.6 overs
Phi Edge uses AI to predict who will win
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Phi Edge vs The Market
Phi Edge
69%
SKNP to win
Market average
63%
SKNP to win
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Jamaica Kingsmen have blown the game open with a 21-run 14th over, turning 91/4 into 112/4 and shifting the first innings sharply their way. Salamkheil was taken for 3 sixes, and with 6 overs left the total now looks far more imposing for St Kitts and Nevis Patriots. It swung the score from 91/4 to 112/4 in 6 balls.
This over · runs
Well clear of Jamaica Kingsmen's current run rate.
Jamaica Kingsmen’s Ayub has brought up a career T20 milestone, reaching 3750 runs in this match. His 66 runs so far have pushed the Kingsmen along, and the landmark underlines just how much weight he is carrying in this match.
Saim Ayub has given Jamaica Kingsmen a much-needed lift, reaching 50 off 36 balls with 4 sixes and 2 fours as they moved to 97/4 in 13.1 overs. At 52 not out, he is the one holding this first innings together, and his milestone gives Jamaica Kingsmen something real to work with after a shaky start.
Jamaica Kingsmen are 43/3 in 6 overs, and Khan’s 88 against Hasaranga is well below his 146 career batting SR. That is a clear matchup for St Kitts and Nevis Patriots as Hasaranga comes on after Obed McCoy. With wickets already down, this change could tighten the squeeze before the total gets away.
Khan's strike rate · per 100 balls
Hasaranga keeps Khan's batting strike rate below Khan's career mark.
McKenzie has ticked over to 250 runs in the CPL, with 10 runs this match taking him to the mark for Jamaica Kingsmen.
Ayub has brought up 500 runs in the CPL.
Jamaica Kingsmen are 34/2 after 5 overs, but Ayub’s strike rate jumps to 287 against McCoy, well above his 138 career mark. That is the kind of matchup that can flip a cautious start into momentum in a hurry, have St Kitts and Nevis Patriots turned to McCoy at the wrong time?
Ayub's strike rate · per 100 balls
McCoy keeps Ayub's batting strike rate below Ayub's career mark.
Jamaica Kingsmen are 4/1 after 1 overs, and Holder’s first look at Ayub looks to continue the Patriots' strong start. Ayub’s strike rate sits at 118 against Holder, well below his 138 career batting SR, so the bowling change has landed with a clear plan. In a tight start, that is the kind of pressure St Kitts and Nevis Patriots wanted.
Ayub's strike rate · per 100 balls
Holder keeps Ayub's batting strike rate below Ayub's career mark.
Powell’s strike rate drops to 67 against Salamkheil, well below his 143 career batting SR.This is a clear slowdown for Jamaica Kingsmen’s hitter against the St Kitts and Nevis Patriots’ bowler. If this battle appears, Salamkheil has already shown he can drag Powell out of his usual tempo.
Powell's strike rate · per 100 balls
Salamkheil keeps Powell's batting strike rate below Powell's career mark.
Khan’s strike rate against Holder is 75, a long way under his career 146. For Jamaica Kingsmen, it means Holder has already shown he can take the sting out of one of their batters before the contest properly opens up.
Khan's strike rate · per 100 balls
Holder keeps Khan's batting strike rate below Khan's career mark.
Powell goes into SKNP v JK needing 1 more six to reach 150 in the CPL.
The Jamaica Kingsmen have a clear milestone in sight for Paul, who sits on 99 career T20 wickets and needs 1 more to reach 100.
Powell goes into this CPL meeting needing just 3 more career T20 sixes to reach 450, a tidy milestone that puts a spotlight on his power game before a ball is bowled.
Charles goes into SKNP v JK needing 20 more to reach 8500 career T20 runs. At 8480 already, he is right on the brink of a major mark, and this match offers the chance to turn a solid tally into a landmark one for St Kitts & Nevis Patriots.
Jamaica Kingsmen’s Ayub goes in needing 21 more runs to bring up 500 in the CPL, with 479 already in the bank.
Holder goes into SKNP v JK on 1477 CPL runs, with 1500 now only 23 away.
This one shapes up around two different edges. Khan has 350 runs at 164 and an impact score of 93, while Holder brings 21 wickets with an impact score of 82. Fletcher’s 274 runs and Shah’s 17 wickets give both sides a second strike option, but the biggest match-up may be Kingsmen’s power against Patriots’ control.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
This one begins with Jamaica Kingsmen in front, winning comfortably by 51 runs in their only meeting so far. Both teams have struggled so far this tournament with St Kitts and Nevis Patriots losing their last two games.
Jamaica Kingsmen arrive with the stronger run-rate profile, striking at 8.02 in the Powerplay and 11.26 at the Death, both ahead of St Kitts and Nevis Patriots. The Patriots are steadier at 7.39 and 7.36 through the early and middle overs, but the gap late on is the loudest clue. If the game goes deep, the Kingsmen should hold the advantage.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
This is a ground where 179 is the average first-innings mark and 180 has been defended 67% of the time, so SKNP and JK know a par total needs real muscle. The chase has still come through 63% of the time, which keeps both sides honest. With the Death phase at 11.0 average run rate, Warner Park can punish any slip late and make even a decent total feel thin.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Warner Park
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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