Phi Edge uses AI to predict who will win
Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Match insights
St Lucia Kings scrape home after Falcons’ 98/9
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons put 98/9 on the board, but St Lucia Kings still got over the line by 3 wickets in a low-scoring scrap. The Kings were never fluent at 54/7, yet their chase held just enough nerve against a total that never looked safe. The Falcons’ never quite had enough on the board. Nevertheless, their bowling attack brought the energy and turned what should have been a simple chase into a thrilling contest.
Cornwall and Bishop shape the post-match verdict
Cornwall’s 26 off 16 and impact score of 98 showed his individual flare with the bat, while Bishop answered with 2 wickets for 16 and an impact score of 79 for St Lucia Kings. Cornwall also sat well above his 10-match average impact of 50, and Bishop improved on a 43 average. It was fitting, in the end, that Bishop hit the winning runs to secure the points for the Kings.
Match impact vs recent form
This match score (0-100) vs their recent-form average over the card's look-back window.
Forde reaches 500 T20 runs
Forde’s 5 runs this match have carried him to 500 career T20 runs, a neat milestone in a live CPL contest between SLK and ABF. He won't be paying the least bit of attention to that right now though - he needs to be the one to dig the Kings out of this hole!
Springer and James rip through St Lucia Kings
St Lucia Kings were 17/2 and then lost 4 wickets for 4 runs, crashing to 21/6 in 5 overs. The collapse has been monumental and no one saw it coming. It's all action at the Daren Sammy as the game nears a tight finish.
Seales keeps Chase quieter than usual
St Lucia Kings are 4/0 in the chase of 84, and Chase only strikes at 80 against Seales, well below his 125 career batting strike rate. Antigua & Barbuda Falcons have gone to a bowler who has already made him work, and they will need this matchup to continue in Seales' favour if they are to have any hope of keeping the Kings under this small total.
Chase's strike rate · per 100 balls
Seales keeps Chase's batting strike rate below Chase's career mark.
Jangoo reaches 500 career T20 runs
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons’ Jangoo has crossed 500 career T20 runs, with 3 runs this match taking him from 497 to the milestone. It is a neat marker in a live CPL contest against SLK, but his team remains firmly behind in this game. It will take plenty more runs from Jangoo to get them back into this game.
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons lose the plot in a clatter of wickets
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons have been ripped apart in Overs 6-8, losing 4 wickets in 13 balls and turning 43/2 into 47/6. Cornwall, Tajinder Singh, Moeen Ali and Fabian Allen fell as St Lucia Kings seized control, leaving the Falcons badly short and struggling to set a total. The last was the worst of the 4; gifting the opposition a run out at this stage is almost unforgivable - his coach definitely won't thank him!
Chase is the matchup that could swing it
Chase has kept Ali to a strike rate of 64. That sits well below Ali's career batting strike rate of 140. How Ali handles Chase is a genuine swing point in this fixture. The record in the past says the bowler has had the better of it, and Phi's read leans on that edge holding up.
Ali's strike rate · per 100 balls
Chase keeps Ali's batting strike rate below Ali's career mark.
Cornwall has Forde’s number
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons are 36/2 after 5 overs, and Cornwall’s strike rate against Forde is 224, well above his 149 career mark. That is a sharp mismatch for St Lucia Kings, with Cornwall looking to set up a quick start and a great platform for the Falcons.
Cornwall's strike rate · per 100 balls
Forde keeps Cornwall's batting strike rate below Cornwall's career mark.
Forde has Robinson under his career rate
St Lucia Kings have turned to Forde with Antigua & Barbuda Falcons 6/1 after 1 over, and Robinson’s strike rate of 93 against him sits well below his 140 career batting strike rate. That is a tidy squeeze at the top, with the new bowler already forcing the Falcons to slow down in the second over.
Robinson's strike rate · per 100 balls
Forde keeps Robinson's batting strike rate below Robinson's career mark.
Gous and Lewis loom as the late-game threats
St Lucia Kings have Gous peaking at a strike rate of 197.76 in the death, so will be hoping he can bat through the innings and strike in his most dangerous phase, while Antigua and Barbuda Falcons have Lewis striking at 183.69 in the middle. Cornwall’s 136.44 in the powerplay and Asalanka’s 135.14 up top add more danger, but the sharpest edge sits with the two hitters who can flip a T20 in a few overs.
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
Theekshana has Lewis pinned down
Lewis’s strike rate drops to 58 against Theekshana, well below his 148 career batting SR, and that is a serious squeeze over 26 balls. For Antigua and Barbuda Falcons, this is the sort of matchup that can stall momentum fast if Lewis cannot break free. St Lucia Kings will know Theekshana has the edge here.
Lewis's strike rate · per 100 balls
Theekshana keeps Lewis's batting strike rate below Lewis's career mark.
Gous sets the pace, Asalanka adds the all-round edge
St Lucia Kings have the sharper match-winners here, with Gous on 486 runs in his last 10 games at a strike rate of 169 and an impact score of 98. Asalanka adds balance with 315 runs, 5 wickets and an impact score of 91. Antigua and Barbuda Falcons can lean on Lewis and Singh, but the Kings pair look the louder threat before a ball is bowled.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
SLK hold the edge in a 4-0 head-to-head
St Lucia Kings come into this CPL meeting with the cleaner record, winning all 4 previous matches against Antigua and Barbuda Falcons. They've already met this season, as the Kings won a tight contest by 4 runs. For SLK, it is a strong psychological edge; for ABF, it is a chance to rewrite the script.
St Lucia Kings start faster, Falcons save their power for the Death
Across the last 10 matches, St Lucia Kings have set the pace early with 10.24 in the Powerplay, well ahead of Antigua and Barbuda Falcons at 8.25. The Falcons narrow that gap in the Middle at 7.46 to 8.62, then flip the script at the Death with 9.55. The Kings will be hoping to, once again, make good use of the Powerplay and demonstrate their superiority over the Falcons in this period. If they can score quickly in the Powerplay, it may prove too difficult for the Falcons to catch up.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
Runs have come early, and they keep coming late
Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium has been a batting ground in this window, with 162 the average first innings and 163 the defend threshold. Chasing has worked 59% of the time, so setting a total is never simple, especially with the death rate jumping to 10.21 after 8.84 in the Powerplay and 8.16 through the Middle.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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