Phi Edge uses AI to predict who will win
Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Match insights
Auguste brings up 50 in St Lucia Kings chase
Ackeem Auguste has turned 28 balls into 55, with 5 sixes and 3 fours driving St Lucia Kings to 111/2 in 11.4 overs while chasing 177. That half-century has kept the chase moving at pace and given St Lucia Kings a strong platform, with the target now well within sight if this tempo holds. He will be looking to be there at the end to take SLK over the line.
Green’s 19-run over jolts St Lucia Kings’ chase
St Lucia Kings were 67/2 and Green’s over flipped the tempo, with 4, 6, wd, 1, 1, 6, 0 taking them to 86/2 after 9 overs. Auguste really took a liking to Green's bowling and decided to get on with the chase.
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
Motie slows Chase as SLK keep the chase moving
Chase has been held to a strike rate of 100 against Motie, below his career batting SR of 125, even with SLK already 53/1 in 5 overs while chasing 177. Motie needs to control Chase to swing this game back towards the Tridents.
Chase's strike rate · per 100 balls
Motie keeps Chase's batting strike rate below Chase's career mark.
Kings absorb a wicket and still land the big over
St Lucia Kings were 36/0 before Rahman’s over, and even after the wicket they moved to 53/1. The 17-run burst, with 1 six and 2 fours, keeps the chase ahead of the required 8.81 and turns a tidy start into real pressure on Barbados Tridents. Will that wicket lost hurt them or was it worth it to take 17 from the dangerous Mujeeb?
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
Chase starts quicker against Green
St Lucia Kings are chasing 177 and Chase has opened at 13/0 in 2 overs, with a 145 strike rate against Green compared with his 125 career batting SR. That is a sharper start than his norm. The SLK captain will look to get his side off to a fast start by capitalising on this matchup.
Chase's strike rate · per 100 balls
Green keeps Chase's batting strike rate below Chase's career mark.
Rutherford races to 50 and keeps Barbados Tridents moving
Sherfane Rutherford has reached 50 in 27 balls, with 5 sixes and 2 fours, and he is already on 54 from 16.3 overs. That burst has given Barbados Tridents real momentum at 162/3, and with Rutherford still going, the total to set keeps getting stronger. How many can he push on to get now. The Tridents' total rests on his power.
Rutherford reaches 1250 CPL runs
Rutherford has brought up 1250 runs in the CPL, and it comes with Barbados Tridents on 48 runs this match. It is a neat marker of staying power in a live game, with the milestone underlining an exciting career. For Barbados Tridents, it is a small but telling highlight in the middle of the innings.
Barbados Tridents cash in a big over
Barbados Tridents have seized the late overs, turning a steady 119/3 into 139/3 and putting St Lucia Kings under pressure. Forde’s over went for 20, with 2 sixes and a four, and that lift at Over 15 gives Barbados Tridents a strong platform to finish the innings. Rutherford is really getting going here.
This over · runs
Well clear of Barbados Tridents's current run rate.
Chase is the matchup that could swing it
Chase has kept Rutherford to a strike rate of 114. That sits well below Rutherford's career batting strike rate of 144. How Rutherford handles Chase is a genuine swing point in this fixture. The record across 21 balls says the bowler has had the better of it, and Phi's read leans on that edge holding up.
Rutherford's strike rate · per 100 balls
Chase keeps Rutherford's batting strike rate below Rutherford's career mark.
Forde has King quieter than usual
Barbados Tridents are 20/1 after 3 overs, and King has made 100 against Forde, well below his 133 career batting SR. That slowdown at the top gives St Lucia Kings a handy early grip as the bowling change asks for a sharper answer from Barbados Tridents.
King's strike rate · per 100 balls
Forde keeps King's batting strike rate below King's career mark.
Theekshana checks Kock's early burst
St Lucia Kings have turned to Theekshana with Barbados Tridents on 8/1 after 2 overs, and it is a clear matchup call. Kock’s strike rate sits at 114 against Theekshana, well below his 141 career mark, so the change is designed stop De Kock before he can show his undoubted quality.
Kock's strike rate · per 100 balls
Theekshana keeps Kock's batting strike rate below Kock's career mark.
Danger Zone: Barbados Tridents hold the sharper late hands
Rutherford looks a massive threat if he comes in late in the Tridents' innings, with a death-phase strike rate of 192.55 and a 28 boundary percent that can flip an innings fast. De Kock is no softer touch at 174.01 in the middle, while Asalanka brings fire to the Kings' middle order. Barbados Tridents have the more explosive edge if this turns into a late squeeze. We should see some serious hitting this evening.
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
Rutherford’s sharpest threat comes late
Rutherford’s predicted strike rate against Theekshana climbs to 176 at the death, well above 125 in the Powerplay and 123 in the middle. Rutherford has traditionally struggled against Theekshana, so will be hoping to come in against him later in the innings, where he can show off his power at the death.
Rutherford's predicted strike rate against Theekshana
Based on historical T20 matchups
Sams six runs from 2500
Sams goes into this CPL meeting needing just 6 more career T20 runs to reach 2500, a neat marker that puts the spotlight on his next innings. For Barbados Tridents, that is the kind of small but sharp milestone that can turn an early touch into a match-defining start.
Asalanka leads the batting threat, Sams the bowling edge
St Lucia Kings have Asalanka at 291 runs at a strike rate of 156 in his last 10 games, while Barbados Tridents can lean on Sams, whose 17 wickets and impact score of 94 make him the most in form player coming into this game. De Kock’s 237 runs add more weight for Barbados Tridents, but Simmonds’ 16 wickets show there is bite at both ends. This looks set up for the players who can swing the contest quickest.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
BT hold the edge over SLK in a tight CPL rivalry
Barbados Tridents have won 13 of the 23 meetings, with St Lucia Kings taking 10, so this one arrives with little between them. Expect a proper contest, with BT carrying the slight head-to-head edge into 16 AUG.
Kings start fast, but Tridents are capable of catching up
St Lucia Kings have been the sharper starters over their last 10, striking at 9.28 in the Powerplay and 8.6 through the middle, while Barbados Tridents have lagged early at 7.32 and 7.98. But the Tridents’ 11.5 at the death changes the picture completely.The Tridents' final phase scoring makes it look as though they are playing a different game to the Kings. If this goes deep, that late surge could decide whether the Kings’ steady pace is enough.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
At Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, “par” does not look especially safe.
Across the last 30 matches, the average first-innings score sits at 158, but the venue has still leaned towards the chase: 63% of matches have been won by the side batting second, while scores of 159 or more have only been defended 40% of the time. That points to a ground where batting first is less about reaching the average and more about creating real scoreboard pressure. The scoring pattern backs that up. First-innings sides can get away quickly in the powerplay at 8.62 an over, but the middle phase dips to 7.92, making that the key squeeze point. If the batting side loses momentum there, even a decent platform can leave them short. The death overs are where the innings has to break open, with the run rate jumping to 10.26. For SLK v BT, the message is clear: 159 might be the marker on the card, but it probably is not the comfort zone. Bat first here and you need to go well beyond average, because this has been a venue where chasers have usually felt alive.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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