Phi Edge uses AI to predict who will win
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GAW won
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Match insights
Dindyal’s wicket sparks the collapse
Guyana Amazon Warriors were 106/1 and then slipped to 121/3 across 14-17, with Mavendra Dindyal falling on 50. That swing handed St Lucia Kings the opening they needed. What looked like a non-contest all of a sudden was blown wide open. This, paired with a very tidy over from Chase, would have worried a few Warriors fans, but ultimately they had plenty of firepower to see them home.
Guyana Amazon Warriors seal 7-wicket win over St Lucia Kings
St Lucia Kings managed 151/7, but Guyana Amazon Warriors answered with 157/3 and the cleaner finish told the tale. The Warriors batted very calmly, for the most part, before exploding at the end to reach their target with ease from the blade of Shimron Hetmyer.
Pretorius and Hetmyer decide it for Guyana Amazon Warriors
Pretorius turned the game with 3 wickets for 29, while Hetmyer’s 25 off 11 kept the pressure on at the other end. Their impact scores of 84 and 82 show how strongly they shaped the contest, with standout gains of +45 and +42 backing it up. Guyana Amazon Warriors seized control through those two match-defining spells.
Match impact vs recent form
This match score (0-100) vs their recent-form average over the card's look-back window.
Guyana’s 18-run over keeps the chase moving
Guyana Amazon Warriors turned Over 17 into a lift, taking 18 off Theekshana with 2 sixes and a four even after losing a wicket. That moved them from 115/2 to 133/3 in a chase of 151. A huge over in the context of the game.
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
Theekshana slows Hope as GAW stay on track
Hope’s strike rate against Theekshana sits at 83, well below his career 131, so the bowling change asks him to earn every run at 115/2 in 16 overs. With Guyana Amazon Warriors chasing 151, St Lucia Kings need this matchup to bite now, because even a small slowdown can still tilt the finish.
Hope's strike rate · per 100 balls
Theekshana keeps Hope's batting strike rate below Hope's career mark.
Dindyal reaches 50 as Guyana keep the chase moving
Mavendra Dindyal has brought up 50 off 50 balls with 2 sixes and 5 fours, and Guyana Amazon Warriors are 106/1 in 13.4 overs chasing 151. That kind of control at the top has left the target within reach, with Dindyal’s half-century giving the chase a firm platform.
Guyana strike hard in Over 3
Goodridge was taken for 16 in Over 3 as Guyana Amazon Warriors moved from 8/0 to 24/0, with 2 sixes and a four in the over. Chasing 151 at 24/0 after 3 overs, they have turned a steady start into real momentum and put St Lucia Kings under early pressure. It was Glenn Phillips dishing out the damage and demonstrating his skills in the powerplay.
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
St Lucia Kings lose the plot in a clatter of late wickets
St Lucia Kings have let a strong platform slip into trouble, losing 3 wickets in 12 balls and stalling at 136/7 after 19 overs. From 121/4 to 136/7, Nedd, Forde and Asalanka all fell in the squeeze, and Guyana Amazon Warriors have turned the finish into a fight for St Lucia Kings just to post enough. St Lucia Kings lost 3 wickets for 15 runs in 12 balls with Shepherd, Joseph, Pretorius doing the damage, sliding from 121/4 to 136/7 and further damaging their own cause.
Nabi has Asalanka pinned
Asalanka’s strike rate sits at 64 against Nabi, well below his career 132, so Guyana Amazon Warriors have found a choke point just as the innings reaches over 16. He will need to improve his batting against Nabi's experienced spin or look to take down any of the other bowlers.
Asalanka's strike rate · per 100 balls
Nabi keeps Asalanka's batting strike rate below Asalanka's career mark.
Asalanka has handled Tahir far better than his norm
At 84/4 in 12 overs, St Lucia Kings need a lift, and Asalanka’s 171 against Tahir stands well above his 132 career strike rate. That matchup gives the batting side a route to push the innings on, and they need it. The Kings will need their overseas star to bring a meaningful contribution to CPL 2026 for the first time this tournament and this matchup gives him the chance to do just that.
Asalanka's strike rate · per 100 balls
Tahir keeps Asalanka's batting strike rate below Asalanka's career mark.
Auguste has the edge on Shepherd
St Lucia Kings are 30/1 after 4 overs, and Auguste’s 185 strike rate against Shepherd is a significant step up from his 133 career mark. That sort of matchup can change the feel of an innings quickly, especially with the bowling change coming after Dwaine Pretorius. Guyana Amazon Warriors need Shepherd to turn this matchup back in his favour. Once the rain subsides, each of these players will be looking to get the best of the man at the opposite end.
Auguste's strike rate · per 100 balls
Shepherd keeps Auguste's batting strike rate below Auguste's career mark.
Death overs could decide SLK v GAW
This one points straight to the closing overs. Gous is hottest at the death with a strike rate of 200.0, while Phillips has 190.91 in the same phase and Sampson lifts to 185.96 through the middle. Hetmyer is steadier across the innings, but everyone knows the power and star quality he possess in any phase of the game. When he comes in, fans will be firmly in their seats and glued to the action!
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
Gous has a clear edge over Shepherd
Gous’s strike rate jumps to an incredible 251 against Shepherd, well above his 144 career mark, so this is the sort of matchup that can tilt a T20 quickly. Across 57 balls, he has found a gear Shepherd has struggled to contain, and St Lucia Kings will see that as a real opening if Gous gets time in the middle.
Gous's strike rate · per 100 balls
Shepherd keeps Gous's batting strike rate below Gous's career mark.
Hetmyer is three sixes from 400
Hetmyer is just 3 sixes from 400 career T20 sixes. We know he can clear the boundary with ease when on form, and his teammates will be hoping he can get on a roll tonight.
Gous leads the batting stakes for St Lucia Kings
Gous arrives with 492 runs at a strike rate of 172 in his last 10 games, making him the most dangerous threat in this CPL meeting. Asalanka adds 289 runs and 5 wickets for St Lucia Kings, while Tahir’s 14 wickets and 6.85 economy give Guyana Amazon Warriors a clear counter. Sampson’s 255 runs at 152 keep the reply honest, but Gous carries the biggest impact score at 99. Keep an eye on him tonight.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
GAW hold the edge in a tight CPL rivalry
Guyana Amazon Warriors lead this matchup 16-11 across 27 meetings. St Lucia Kings will know the margin is small but real. SLK will need to flip a pattern that has favoured their opponents more often than not. They will also be looking to turn their form around, having lost just a few days ago at the very same venue to the Barbados Tridents. Roston Chase has work to do against one of the tournament's most successful franchises.
Kings start faster, but the Warriors are experienced at the death
St Lucia Kings have the quicker early tempo, with 9.03 in the Powerplay and 8.46 through the middle, although they are likely to still be without Gous at the top of the order. He will take some replacing, and the Kings will hope their skipper can step up and bring some top order runs. But the Warriors bring the late surge, jumping to 9.72 at the Death against the Kings’ 8.47. That sets up a contest between Kings’ steadier front end and Warriors’ sharper finish.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
Runs are there, but defending is no sure thing in Gros Islet
Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium has been a fair scoring ground over 30 matches, with 159 the average first-innings total. Chasing has worked 59% of the time, while only 45% of those 160-plus totals have been defended. The pace rises late too, with the Death phase at 10.31, so both SLK and GAW know this venue can turn quickly. In the last 6 T20 games at this venue, 5 totals have been chased down, including a huge 202 when these sides met here in 2025.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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