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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Chase has reached the 1500-run mark in the CPL, with 5 runs this match nudging him over the line from 1498. He will want to lead from the front and be there at the end of this chase for his team.
St Lucia Kings were 57/1 and then Smith was taken for 6, 6 and 4 in Over 9, turning a steady chase into a surge to 78/1. With 21 off the over, the asking rate pressure eased fast and the chase now has real momentum with wickets still in hand. For Odean Smith, it was much the same as we have seen in the rest of CPL 2026, as he continues to leak too many runs.
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
Pooran has reached 50 off 26 balls with 4 sixes and 4 fours as St Lucia Kings move to 73/1 in 8.3 overs chasing 169. There is huge responsibility on his relatively inexperienced shoulders after the wicket of his in-form opening partner. The runs have been flowing for Kamil Pooran so far this competition, and there is no indication they will stop.
Jamaica Kingsmen have found a late surge, and 17 from Over 19 has turned a modest finish into a far stronger total. From 148/7 to 165/7, Schalkwyk was taken for two sixes and the Kingsmen have given St Lucia Kings a tougher ask with one over left. It swung the score from 148/7 to 165/7 in 7 balls.
This over · runs
Well clear of Jamaica Kingsmen's current run rate.
Keacy Carty has given Jamaica Kingsmen something to work with at 162/7 in 18.4 overs, bringing up 50 off 42 balls with 1 sixes and 3 fours. In a first innings that needs every run, his half-century is the difference between a total that can still bite and one that was slipping away. His partnership with Smith has been key so far.
Carty has gone past 750 runs in career T20 cricket, with 17 runs this match taking him to the mark for Jamaica Kingsmen. It is a neat personal milestone, but it is far from the top of the Kingsmen list of concerns right now.
St Lucia Kings have gone straight to Theekshana with Jamaica Kingsmen on 74/6 after 10 overs, and Russell’s 229 strike rate against him is a sharp warning. That is well above his 169 career batting SR, so the switch could favour the Kingsmen, who desperately need their star man to come up with the goods after the failure of the top order.
Russell's strike rate · per 100 balls
Theekshana keeps Russell's batting strike rate below Russell's career mark.
Khan has brought up 3000 runs, a neat career T20 milestone in this Jamaica Kingsmen innings.
Jamaica Kingsmen were 13/2 and badly needed a lift, and von Schalkwyk’s over gave them exactly that. The no ball and resulting free hit did the bowler no favours as he was carted all around the ground.
This over · runs
Well clear of Jamaica Kingsmen's current run rate.
Powell’s strike rate drops to 64 against Theekshana, a sharp fall from his 143 career batting SR. Powell has been on great form recently and it would be no surprise to see St Lucia Kings attempt to halt that form by deploying Theekshana early against the Jamaica Kingsmen skipper.
Powell's strike rate · per 100 balls
Theekshana keeps Powell's batting strike rate below Powell's career mark.
For Jamaica Kingsmen, Powell needs just 1 more six to reach 150 in the CPL. He's extremely dangerous and will look to clear the rope if he gets himself in.
Paul enters this CPL meeting with 99 career T20 wickets, needing just 1 more to reach 100. Jamaica Kingsmen will hope Paul can influence the game with the ball in the second innings.
St Lucia Kings have been the more even side over 10 matches, keeping all three phases between 8.05 and 8.46. Jamaica Kingsmen, from 5 matches, are quieter through the Powerplay and Middle at 7.97 and 7.34, but the Death jumps to 11.61. That sets up a clear contrast: one side for balance, the other for late surge. If Jamaica can set themselves up and improve their first two phases, their superior power should be enough to guide them to a third successive win.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
At Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium, 157 is the average first-innings score across 30 matches, and 63% of chases have come off. Tonight marks the last game in St Lucia of CPL 2026, and so far at this venue 3 out of the 4 matches have been won by the chasing side. St Lucia Kings will be looking to finish off their home leg with a victory in front of their fans, but no total will feel safe if Jamaica Kingsmen are chasing at this venue with their firepower.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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