Phi Edge uses AI to predict who will win
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SKNP won
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Match insights
Andrew’s exit sparks Kings’ slide
St Lucia Kings were 117/3 before Jewel Andrew’s 58 ended and the innings lurched to 139/6 in overs 15–17. St Kitts and Nevis Patriots seized the moment, and the collapse turned a steady platform into a wobble. If Andrew had continue to bat throughout the death overs, the Kings could have posted a far more daunting target.
Patriots strike twice in 18 balls
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots made the early dent, and the numbers tell the story: St Lucia Kings slipped from 4/0 to 18/2 in overs 1-4. Two wickets in 18 balls turned the opening from steady to shaky, giving the bowling side the first real grip on the innings.
Patriots beat Kings comfortably by 5 wickets
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots cruised in the chase of St Lucia Kings' 155. Fletcher used all of his experience to anchor the chase and allow his teammates to bat around him, while he made sure he was there at the end to see his team to victory.
Andrew and Theekshana shine for SLK but lack teammates' help
Andrew's 58 off 42 brought the punch, with an impact of 88 and a standout of +44 against a 10-match form impact of 44. Theekshana backed it up with 2 wickets for 22, an impact of 84 and a standout of +30. But, their teammates failed to back them up and The Patriots played as a team, working together to overcome a couple of standout performers for the Kings.
Match impact vs recent form
This match score (0-100) vs their recent-form average over the card's look-back window.
Fletcher brings up 9000 in style
Fletcher has reached 9000 runs, a career T20 milestone. For St Kitts & Nevis Patriots, it is a neat marker in a live outing that has already yielded 18 runs this match. He will be looking to lead his side home in this chase as they hunt down The Kings' total.
Forde slows Mayers’ chase
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots are chasing 155, but Forde has had Mayers' number in the past. His strike rate sits at 100 against Forde, below his 134 career mark. The bowling change comes as St Lucia try to tighten the screws.
Mayers's strike rate · per 100 balls
Forde keeps Mayers's batting strike rate below Mayers's career mark.
Hasaranga is the matchup that could swing it
Hasaranga has kept Chase to a strike rate of 106. That sits well below Chase's career batting strike rate of 125. How Chase handles Hasaranga is a genuine swing point in this fixture. The record across 18 balls says the bowler has had the better of it, and Phi's read leans on that edge holding up.
Chase's strike rate · per 100 balls
Hasaranga keeps Chase's batting strike rate below Chase's career mark.
St Lucia Kings lose the plot in a clatter of wickets
St Lucia Kings lost 3 wickets for 5 runs in 11 balls. That passage swings the match. St Lucia Kings lost 3 wickets for 5 runs in 11 balls with Holder and Netravalkar doing the damage, sliding from 133/3 to 138/6 and handing back the momentum to the bowling side at a crucial point.
Andrew brings up a lively fifty
Andrew has reached 50 off 39 balls for St Lucia Kings, with 3 sixes and 2 fours in a controlled innings. At 125/3 in 14.4 overs, he has given the batting first side real momentum as they look to build a strong total.
Pooran brings up a brisk fifty
Pooran has reached 50 in style for St Lucia Kings, getting there off 28 balls with 3 sixes and 7 fours. With 52 already in the bank at 10.2 overs, he has given the innings a sharp pulse as they set a total.
Netravalkar hammered for 24 as Kings surge
St Lucia Kings found the accelerator in Over 5, turning 20/2 into 44/2. Netravalkar was taken apart for 24 off 6, with 3 sixes and a four in a brutal finish. After a quiet start to the innings, that burst has given the Kings real momentum batting first. Kamil Pooran really took a liking to Netravalkar in that over and will be looking to take that aggression to the other bowlers too.
This over · runs
Well clear of St Lucia Kings's current run rate.
Don't let Fletcher get set at the Death
Fletcher brings the heat with a 228.0 strike rate at the death and 31% boundaries, while Gous is even more relentless in the middle at 156.91 and 197.76 at the death. Charles adds another layer, strongest in the powerplay at 139.25. For St Lucia Kings, Gous and Auguste can turn any 50-ball window into a blaze. They will be hoping Gous brings more of his first game flair into this match
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
Holder has Gous in a tight grip
Gous’s strike rate against Holder sits at 50, a long way off his 145 career batting SR. Across 22 balls, Holder has made every ball feel like an event, with the latest meetings still stuck at 50.0 and two dismissals among the sample. For SLK, they will need their opener to break free from Holder's shackles.
Gous's strike rate · per 100 balls
Holder keeps Gous's batting strike rate below Gous's career mark.
Fletcher 18 Away from 9000 T20 Runs
St Kitts & Nevis Patriots’ Fletcher stands on the brink with 8982 career T20 runs, needing just 18 more to reach 9000. In a CPL meeting of SLK v SKNP on 12 AUG, that landmark is there for the taking, and a big contribution from him here would not only bring up a huge milestone, but also turn the game in the Patriots favour.
Gous and Holder headline a sharp pre-match split
Gous is on fire with the bat, scoring 565 runs at 170 in his last 10 games, with a towering 99 impact score for St Lucia Kings. Holder gives St Kitts and Nevis Patriots the all-round edge, 15 wickets and 100 runs with a 73 impact score. Forde and Fletcher add bite too, but the numbers still point to Gous as the man to watch out for tonight.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
SLK Hold the Edge, SKNP Bring the Bite
St Lucia Kings have won 13 of 21 meetings, and the last two both went their way, by 7 wickets and by 3 runs. St Kitts and Nevis Patriots will be looking to bounce back, though, after a heavy defeat to Trinbago Knight Riders in their opening game. We should see a tight CPL scrap tonight.
Kings louder early, Patriots sharper at the death
St Lucia Kings bring the hotter engine in the first two acts, striking at 10.26 in the Powerplay and 8.37 through the middle, while St Kitts and Nevis Patriots sit at 8.13 and 7.74. But the Patriots finish with a 10.2 death-rate, just ahead of the Kings’ 9.28, so this one could hinge on who manages to create the biggest gap in their dominant phase
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
Chasing Advantage at Daren Sammy
Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium has favoured the chasing side, with 63% success in 30 T20s and an average first innings of 156. Even better than average scores of 157+ have only been defended 42% of the time, so whoever bats first in this one will need to put a lot of runs on the board and bowl well enough to fight against the trend of Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium being a place to chase.
Avg first innings run rate by phase at Daren Sammy National Cricket Stadium
How first-innings scoring breaks down here.
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