Phi Edge uses AI to predict who will win
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TKR won
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Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Match insights
Trinbago Knight Riders seize control late
Barbados Tridents were 84/4, but 4 wickets in 18 balls turned that into 117/8 and ripped the innings apart. Trinbago Knight Riders forced the collapse between overs 17–20, and that late squeeze decided who held the upper hand.
Trinbago Knight Riders finish the chase with 7 wickets in hand
Barbados Tridents could only reach 127/9, and Trinbago Knight Riders answered with 128/3 at 8.6 an over. The difference was control of the scoring, with 37% dot balls against 54% and 8 sixes to 6. That left Trinbago Knight Riders to seize the match and close it out by 7 wickets.
Narine and Munro put TKR in charge
Narine drove the match with 55 off 33 and 2 wickets for 14, while Munro added 37 off 26 to keep the pressure on. Narine’s impact score of 97 stood well above his 10-match average of 71, and Munro’s 84 also cleared his 67. That pair gave Trinbago Knight Riders the decisive edge.
Match impact vs recent form
This match score (0-100) vs their recent-form average over the card's look-back window.
Barbados Tridents hit Trinbago with 3 wickets in 14 balls
Trinbago Knight Riders went from 96/0 to 108/3 in 14 balls, with the Tridents showing some fight in what will be a losing effort. Colin Munro fell at 96/1 off Green, Narine at 102/2 off Simmonds, and Nicholas Pooran at 108/3 off Rahman.
Narine brings up 50 as TKR race ahead
Sunil Narine has turned 28 balls into 52, with 6 sixes and 1 four, and that 50 has come with Trinbago Knight Riders already 89/0 in 8.2 overs while chasing 127. It is a brutal start from the batting side, and the target is now looking well within reach.
Trinbago Knight Riders turn 7th over into a launchpad
TKR are not slowing down: 16 from 6 balls, with 2 sixes, took Trinbago Knight Riders from 60/0 to 76/0. In a chase of 127, that kind of surge after 7 overs has them well ahead of the required 4.8 rate and firmly in control of the pursuit.
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
Trinbago turn the pressure on in Over 6
Mujeeb Ur Rahman’s over went for 16, and Trinbago Knight Riders moved from 44/0 to 60/0 without losing a wicket. With 127 to chase and 6 overs done, that burst has pushed the required rate down and given the chase a rapid start.
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
Green has slowed Narine in TKR’s chase
Trinbago Knight Riders are 24/0 after 3 overs in a chase of 127, but Narine’s 117 against Green sits well below his 150 career batting SR. That is a small edge for Barbados Tridents at this stage, enough to make the next bowling change matter as TKR try to keep the chase moving.
Narine's strike rate · per 100 balls
Green keeps Narine's batting strike rate below Narine's career mark.
Barbados Tridents unravel late to 114/8
What looked like a recovery for Green and Barbados Tridents turned into a collapse, with 3 wickets in 10 balls and only 11 runs added from 103/5 to 114/8. Gudakesh Motie was bowled by Narine, Daniel Sams fell off Hosein, and Chris Green was caught off Pollard as Trinbago Knight Riders seized the last 3 overs.
Green reaches 2250 T20 runs
Green has added 8 runs this match to bring up 2250 career T20 runs, a neat milestone in the middle of TKR v BT.
Narine is back on Green as BT reach 74/4
Barbados Tridents are 74/4 after 14 overs, and Green’s 100 strike rate against Narine sits well below his 139 career batting SR. That is why the bowling change matters: Trinbago Knight Riders have gone straight at a batter who has not found his usual tempo. This feels like a pressure move at a fragile point in the innings.
Green's strike rate · per 100 balls
Narine keeps Green's batting strike rate below Green's career mark.
Death overs could decide TKR v BT
Pooran and Rutherford bring the sharpest late-innings threat into this one, with Pooran striking at 221.37 in the death and Rutherford at 195.52 there too. Kock’s 173.7 in the middle and Pollard’s 144 keep the pressure alive for both sides.
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
Narine has Rutherford tied down
Rutherford’s strike rate drops to 73 against Narine, far below his 144 career batting SR, a clear sign the Trinbago Knight Riders spinner has kept Barbados Tridents’ hitter from breaking free.
Rutherford's strike rate · per 100 balls
Narine keeps Rutherford's batting strike rate below Rutherford's career mark.
Narine has had de Kock's number
Quinton de Kock's strike rate drops to 87 against Sunil Narine, well below his 141 career mark. For Barbados Tridents, that is a clear warning sign against Trinbago Knight Riders: Narine has already found a way to slow one of their key batters.
Kock's strike rate · per 100 balls
Narine keeps Kock's batting strike rate below Kock's career mark.
Hales is 3 sixes away from 600
Trinbago Knight Riders will have Hales in the spotlight, with 597 career T20 sixes and 3 more needed to reach 600.
Hales needs 11 to reach 14500 career T20 runs
Trinbago Knight Riders will have Hales under the spotlight, with 14489 career T20 runs leaving him 11 short of 14500.
de Kock is 22 away from 1000 CPL runs
For Barbados Tridents, de Kock needs just 22 to reach 1000 CPL runs.
Pooran and Sams headline a sharp TKR v BT contest
This one has two players carrying heavy influence before a ball is bowled. Pooran’s 359 runs at a strike rate of 206 make him the most explosive batting threat, while Sams brings 17 wickets and an impact score of 93 for Barbados Tridents. Pollard and Rutherford add more punch, so the contest could swing quickly if either side’s key man lands first.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
TKR hold the edge over BT
Trinbago Knight Riders come in with 17 wins from 28 against Barbados Tridents, while BT have 11. That gap gives TKR the stronger recent claim in this fixture, but 28 meetings also says these two know each other well. The two sides are yet to meet each other this season, and with TKR one win from four so far, can the Tridents get one back on their rivals?
Barbados Tridents edge the death overs
The early overs are close enough to keep this one tight in the powerplay, with Trinbago Knight Riders scoring at 8.07 per over and Barbados Tridents at 7.79. But the gap opens late: 10.71 against 11.58 in the Death should give Barbados Tridents the sharper finish. That edge at the end of innings is the clearest match-up to watch.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
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