Phi Edge uses AI to predict who will win
Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Full time
SLK won
Polymarket Partner
Polymarket US offer – Deposit $10 or more and get a $20 Trading Bonus when you use promo code PHICPL. 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
See offer ↗Phi Edge uses AI to predict who will win
Phi Edge uses its purpose-built AI prediction models to calculate outcome probabilities ball-by-ball during a match. We don’t take bets ourselves, but we have partnerships with companies that do. Learn more about Phi Edge
Match insights
Kings finish hard to set 212 target
St Lucia Kings turned 157/2 into 204/3 in overs 17–19, piling on 47 runs in 18 balls against Trinbago Knight Riders. That late burst gave them a total which turned out to be a winning one in a one-sided contest.
St Lucia Kings win the big-hitting contest
St Lucia Kings made 211/4 and that proved far too much, with Trinbago Knight Riders held to 175/6. The Kings landed 21 fours and scored at 10.6/over, while the Knight Riders could only manage 8.8/over despite 10 sixes. The difference was a middle overs collapse led by Roston Chase, and the Kings won by 36 runs.
Seifert and Chase decide it for St Lucia Kings
Seifert’s 105 off 61, at a strike rate of 172.13, set the tone, while Chase’s 3 wickets for 24 kept the other side from answering back. With impact scores of 90 and 100, they were the difference between a strong total and a chase that never found its footing.
Match impact vs recent form
This match score (0-100) vs their recent-form average over the card's look-back window.
TKR's 21-run over keeps the chase alive
Trinbago Knight Riders have found a huge lift at 147/4 after 16 overs, with Theekshana taken for 21 in Over 16. Pollard is going extremely large and has potentially given the Knight Riders a tiny slither of hope.
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
Pollard brings up 50 in TKR's chase
Kieron Pollard has cracked through 50 off 21 balls, with 3 sixes and 6 fours, and that burst has kept Trinbago Knight Riders moving in a chase of 211. At 134/4 after 15.2 overs, his 52 unfortunately will probably not affect the result.
Bishop’s over lifts Trinbago back into the chase
Trinbago Knight Riders needed a spark at 81/4, and Bishop’s over gave them 20 from 6 balls to jump to 101/4 after 13 overs. Two sixes and two fours gave the chase a glimmer of hope, even if 211 still demands 16.25 an over.
This over · runs
Well clear of the required run rate.
Pollard reaches 3250 CPL runs
Pollard has crossed 3250 CPL runs with 7 runs already this match, a nice milestone in the middle of TKR v SLK. Pollard will need to contribute a serious score here though if the Knight Riders are to have any chance of saving this match.
Chase blows open TKR’s innings
Trinbago Knight Riders went from 70/0 to 70/3 in 4 balls, and Roston Chase did the damage. Sunil Narine, Matthew Breetzke and Nicholas Pooran were all caught off him, turning a strong start into a collapse. In the 8th over, the Kings have taken control of this game.
Chase returns with Munro held to 52
St Lucia Kings have turned to Chase after Munro’s strike rate against him sits at 52, well below his 141 career batting SR. With Trinbago Knight Riders already 34/0 in 4 overs while chasing 211, that change is a clear attempt to slow the opening push before it gets away. The matchup has the feel of a key one in the story of this chase.
Munro's strike rate · per 100 balls
Chase keeps Munro's batting strike rate below Munro's career mark.
Seifert, 100 off 58
Seifert reaches 100 off 58 balls. The innings has been built on 5 sixes and 13 fours. It is his 2nd CPL century.
St Lucia Kings cash in a big over
St Lucia Kings took 18 off Toppin's over 19. Not what the Knight Riders wanted at this stage as the runs target that they will require is rapidly climbing.
This over · runs
Well clear of St Lucia Kings's current run rate.
Drakes is taken apart in Over 17
St Lucia Kings have turned 157/2 into 178/2 in the 17th over, and Drakes has paid for every loose ball. Three sixes in the over from Asalanka who announced himself to the game, with 21 runs off 7 balls. For Trinbago Knight Riders, that over could be the difference when it comes to the chase later.
This over · runs
Well clear of St Lucia Kings's current run rate.
Drakes taken apart as Kings surge past 117/1
St Lucia Kings turned Over 10 into a hammer blow, plundering 20 from Drakes to move from 97/1 to 117/1. Two sixes and a four in the 6-ball burst kept the pressure on Trinbago Knight Riders, and with 117 on the board after 10 overs, the Kings have seized the early advantage.
This over · runs
Well clear of St Lucia Kings's current run rate.
Seifert reaches 1250 CPL runs
St Lucia Kings have 91 runs this match already, and Seifert has now crossed 1250 CPL runs to go with his 5th CPL 50.
Seifert races to 50 for St Lucia Kings
Tim Seifert has reached 50 off 27 balls with St Lucia Kings on 89/1 in 8.2 overs. The 1 six and 7 fours show how cleanly he has driven the innings, and his 53 has given the batting first total a great platform. SLK now have momentum and a score that already looks demanding.
Seifert reaches 8250 T20 runs
Seifert has brought up 8250 career T20 runs in a rampant powerplay for St Lucia Kings, with 35 runs this match already on the board.
Narine back on to test Seifert
St Lucia Kings are 35/0 after 3 overs, and the switch to Narine is a clear move to break a start that has held firm. Seifert’s strike rate sits at 117 against him, below his 139 career batting SR, so Trinbago Knight Riders have a match-up to work with. If that holds, it could slow this opening stand just before the Kings can get too far ahead.
Seifert's strike rate · per 100 balls
Narine keeps Seifert's batting strike rate below Seifert's career mark.
St Lucia Kings punish Drakes in Over 2
St Lucia Kings have come out the blocks with intent, moving from 9/0 to 25/0 in Over 2. Drakes was met with 3 fours in 6 balls, and the 16-run over changed the tone early. With 25 on the board and no wicket lost, TKR have already been put under pressure after winning the toss and inserting the Kings.
This over · runs
Well clear of St Lucia Kings's current run rate.
TKR hold the bigger death-overs threat
Pre-match, Trinbago Knight Riders look the stronger late-innings side. Pooran’s impact score is built on a 221.37 strike rate at the death, while Pollard brings 190.83 in the same phase. St Lucia Kings have Seifert’s 159.12 in the middle, but this danger zone points to TKR having the more explosive finish.
Strike rate in standout phase
Standout = best relative rank vs these XIs, not personal peak SR.
Chase has a clear edge over Drakes
Chase’s strike rate against Drakes sits at 205, well above his 125 career mark, and that is a stark warning for Trinbago Knight Riders. Across 20 balls, the St Lucia Kings batter has made this matchup look far more dangerous than his usual output. Drakes will need a better answer, because this one favours Chase.
Chase's strike rate · per 100 balls
Drakes keeps Chase's batting strike rate below Chase's career mark.
Narine has kept Chase well below his usual pace
Chase’s strike rate sits at 70 against Narine, a long way off his 125 career batting SR. That gap has been real enough to matter in the past, with Narine giving Trinbago Knight Riders a clear matchup edge over St Lucia Kings. If Chase cannot lift that number, this contest tilts Narine’s way.
Chase's strike rate · per 100 balls
Narine keeps Chase's batting strike rate below Chase's career mark.
Pooran leads the pre-match threat for TKR
Pooran arrives with 445 runs at a strike rate of 205 and an impact score of 99 in the last 10 games, the sharpest batting threat on either side. Tromp is not far behind for Trinbago Knight Riders with 309 runs at 155, while St Lucia Kings answer through Asalanka’s 303 runs and 5 wickets and Seifert’s 306 at 150. This one looks primed for a handful of high-impact batters to decide it.
Recent impact score
Role-specific form score (0-100) over the card's look-back window.
TKR hold the edge in a lopsided rivalry
Trinbago Knight Riders have won 19 of the 28 meetings, while St Lucia Kings have managed 8, with 1 no result. This would suggest a mismatch between the two sides but in their last four games, each have two wins apiece. Both teams have lots to play for as the tournament approaches the halfway point, but a win for the Kings tonight would take them top in the table.
TKR’s late surge looks sharper than SLK’s across 10 matches
Trinbago Knight Riders save their best for last, scoring at 11.02 in the death compared with St Lucia Kings’ 8.9 over their last 10 matches. The powerplay is almost even at 7.96 and 7.93, but SLK’s steadier 8.13 in the middle edges TKR’s 7.26. If this turns into a close contest, TKR’s finishing power could be the difference.
Runs per over by phase
Powerplay, middle and death scoring rates for each side.
Get the latest news from Phi Edge
We respect your privacy. Read our policy.